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Productivity up, labor costs down
Latest reports show a recession that is losing steam, analysts say
AP File Photo
Job fairs, such as this one in Los Angeles, have had plenty of applicants even as the recession has loosened its grip on the nation’s economy.
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Published: August 12, 2009
WASHINGTON - Productivity surged in the spring by the largest amount in almost six years while labor costs plunged at the fastest pace in nine years. The results point to a recession losing steam, but they do not bode well for the unemployed or those forced to work shorter weeks who were hoping for more hours.
The Labor Department said yesterday that productivity, the amount of output per hour of work, rose at an annual rate of 6.4 percent in the April-June quarter, while unit labor costs dropped 5.8 percent. Both results were greater than economists expected.
Productivity can help boost living standards because it means that companies can pay their workers more, with those wage increases financed by rising output. However, in this recession, companies have been using their productivity gains from layoffs and other cost cuts not to hire again but to bolster their profits. The result: Many companies have been reporting better-than-expected second-quarter earnings despite falling sales.
Businesses producing more with fewer employees means that millions of unemployed Americans likely will continue to face a dismal job market. Some analysts also worry that companies' aggressive cost-cutting could make it hard to mount a sustainable recovery. That's because a lack of wage growth and a shortage of jobs will likely depress consumer spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of economic output.
Ideally, businesses would use the productivity gains to stabilize their own financial situations and as the economy rebounds, resume hiring to meet the rising demand, analysts said.
"Hopefully, businesses will stop the layoffs and start hiring again so that consumers will have the ability to spend, but that is a tricky transition," said Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody's Economy.com.
In a second report, the Commerce Department said that wholesale inventories declined for a record 10th consecutive month, falling 1.7 percent in June. That was nearly double the 0.9 percent decrease economists had expected.
But in an encouraging sign, sales rose 0.4 percent for a second-straight month. The first back-to-back increases in a year raised hopes that businesses will begin to ramp up production to meet rising demand.
A return of investors' anxiety on the economy gave Wall Street its biggest loss in five weeks.
The Dow Jones industrial average fell 96.50, or 1 percent, to 9,241.45. It was down 121 points at its low of the day. The broader S&P 500 index fell 12.75, or 1.3 percent, to 994.35.
It was the biggest drop for both the Dow and the S&P 500 index since July 7.
The Nasdaq composite index fell 22.51, or 1.1 percent, to 1,969.73, and the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 9.75, or 1.7 percent, to 562.12.
The 6.4 percent jump in productivity followed a 0.3 percent increase in the first three months of the year that was revised downward from an earlier estimate of a 1.6 percent gain. The revision partially reflected the annual benchmark revisions of economic data connected to the gross domestic product.
Economists had expected productivity to surge in the second quarter as businesses continued to lay off workers and trim the number of hours being worked by their remaining employees amid the nation's worst recession since the end of World War II.
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